U.S./Iran Reportedly Near Agreement, Oil Plunges

Markets are surging to the upside this morning after Axios reported that the U.S. and Iran are getting closer to an end to the war, with S&P 500 futures (/ES) up +0.8%, tech-focused Nasdaq 100 futures (/NQ) up +1.4%, and small cap-weighted Russell 2000 futures (/RTY) up +1.7%.

The Axios report said nothing has been formally agreed to yet and that the U.S. expects Iran to respond about several key points within 48 hours. The news sent crude oil futures (/CL) plunging more than -13% at one point, and gold futures (/GC) ran up more than +3%.

Earnings movers include AMD (AMD), Super Micro Computer (SMCI). and Arista Networks (ANET). Today’s postmarket earnings include Arm Holdings (ARM), Applovin (APP), and DoorDash (DASH), while ecodata includes ADP Employment Change and the MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate.

Morning Movers

Snapshot (as of 7 AM ET)

  • Oil (/CL) – Oil is plunging -9.5% to 92.40, with today’s sharp downside move due to reports that the U.S.-Iran war may be closer to a resolution and after a -2.3% move yesterday.

  • Gold (/GC) – Gold is up +3% near 4,700, an upside push that is moving above relative highs near 4,673 from Friday and continuing the upswing that began with yesterday’s +0.78% move.

  • Bitcoin (/BTC) – Bitcoin is up +1.1% at about 82,870, with early trading pointing toward a fifth straight day of gains for a +10.4% rally since the lows on Apr. 29.

  • VIX – The VIX is near 16.4, continuing declines from yesterday’s -0.91 move that closed at 17.38.

  • U.S. Dollar (/DX) – The greenback is down -0.6% at around 97.7, ending a three-day winning streak that closed near 98.4 yesterday after a modest +0.02% gain.

Biggest Premarket Movers (as of 7 AM ET)

Symbol

Product

Mark % Change (Winners)

GLW

Corning

+19.77%

AMD

AMD

+18.32%

SMCI

Super Micro Computer

+12.83%

UBER

Uber Technologies

+8.03%

RCL

Royal Caribbean

+7.58%

Symbol

Product

Mark % Change (Losers)

DOW

Dow Inc.

-8.09%

APA

APA Corp.

-7.69%

ANET

Arista Networks

-7.18%

DVN

Devon Energy

-6.65%

OXY

Occidental Petroleum

-6.64%

Economic Data

Time

Event

7:00 AM ET

MBA Mortgage Applications

8:15 AM ET

ADP Employment Report

8:30 AM ET

Treasury Refunding Announcement

9:30 AM ET

Fed’s Musalem Speaks

10:30 AM ET

EIA Petroleum Status Report

11:00 AM ET

Treasury Buyback Announcement

1:00 PM ET

Fed’s Goolsbee Speaks

Notable Earnings

Premarket

Postmarket

Premarket Tomorrow

Postmarket Tomorrow

NVO, DIS, UBER, CVS, MAR, JCI, QSR, KHC, CART

ARM, APP, DASH, WBD, FTNT, TKO, ALB, CF, FLUT, SNAP, BROS

SHEL, MCD, HWM, LNG, DDOG, ZTS, TPR, U, CELH

GILD, MCK, MELI, ABNB, NET, MNST, MSI, CRWV, COIN, MCHP, RKLB, XYZ, RKT, EXPE, AFRM, AKAM, TOST, WMG, NWS, HUBS, DKNG, TTD, WYNN, TXRH, DBX, LYFT

Upgrades/Downgrades

  • Argus upgrades Palantir (PLTR) to Buy from Hold

  • Phillip Securities upgrades Wells Fargo (WFC) to Buy from Accumulate

  • Seaport Research upgrades AMD (AMD) to Buy from Neutral

  • JPMorgan downgrades Westlake (WLK) to Underweight from Neutral

  • Loop Capital downgrades TopBuild (BLD) to Hold from Buy

  • Northcoast downgrades Norwegian Cruise (NCLH) to Neutral from Buy

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