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Ceasefire Optimism, Powell to Testify

U.S. stock futures are sharply higher and extending yesterday’s rally after U.S. President Donald Trump announced a ceasefire between Israel and Iran, spurring cautious optimism for a lasting resolution to the conflict.
Within hours of the declaration, Israel accused Iran of violating the ceasefire with further missile strikes, which Tehran has refuted, according to Iranian media.
The benchmark S&P 500 is now just 1% below all-time highs if we open at current levels as optimism remains for equities.
Investor focus will remain on the developments in the Middle East today along with Housing data, Consumer Confidence and Fed Chair Powell’s testimony to Congress over the next two days.
Morning Movers
Snapshot (as of 7 AM ET)
Oil (/CL) – Crude fell about 8% on Monday on a potential de-escalation in the Middle East. Crude prices are down another 3.5% near $66.50 a barrel this morning as the announced Iran-Israel ceasefire began to soften investor concerns over supply and shipping disruptions in the oil-rich Middle East.
Gold (/GC) – Gold prices are down over 1.5% at $3340 near a two-week low as risk appetite improved after U.S. President Donald Trump said Iran and Israel had agreed to a ceasefire, denting demand for safe-haven assets.
Bitcoin (/BTC) – The Crypto Future is up 2% near 105.4K in the premarket.
VIX – The CBOE Volatility Index fell 3.8% on Monday and settled at 19.83 as stocks rallied. It is down another 8.5% to 18.1.
U.S. Dollar (/DX) – The dollar is down 0.4% to 97.6.
Biggest Premarket Movers
Symbol | Product | Mark % Change (as of 7 AM ET) |
---|---|---|
FI | Fiserv | +3.42% |
UBER | Uber | +3.00% |
CCL | Carnival | +2.84% |
NEM | Newmont | -1.75% |
OXY | Occidental Petroleum | -1.71% |
RTX | RTX | -1.24% |
Economic Data
Time | Event |
---|---|
9:00AM ET | FHFA House Price Index Case-Shiller Home Price Index |
9:15AM ET | Fed’s Hammack Speaks |
10:00AM ET | Fed’s Powell Testifies to House Consumer Confidence Richmond Fed Mfg. Index |
10:15AM ET | Fed’s Hammack Speaks |
12:30PM ET | Fed’s Williams Speaks |
1:00PM ET | 2-Year Note Auction |
2:05 PM ET | Fed’s Collins Speaks |
4:00PM ET | Fed’s Barr Speaks |
Notable Earnings
Premarket | Postmarket | Premarket Tomorrow | Postmarket Tomorrow |
---|---|---|---|
CCL, SNX | BB, FDX, WOR | GIS, PAYX, WGO | FUL, JEF, MU, MLKN, SCS, WS |
Upgrades/Downgrades
TD Cowen upgrades Lyft (LYFT) to Buy from Hold
Susquehanna upgrades Union Pacific (UNP) to Positive from Neutral
Roth Capital upgrades Electronic Arts (EA) to Buy from Neutral
Goldman Sachs downgrades Advance Auto Parts (AAP) to Sell from Neutral
Arete downgrades Alibaba (BABA) to Neutral from Buy
Goldman Sachs downgrades Dollar General (DG) to Neutral from Buy
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